A business can sound exciting and still fail financially. Simple modelling helps founders understand how price, costs and sales interact before money is committed. You will calculate revenue and profit, build a break-even model, test different scenarios and explain the financial logic behind your idea. By the end of this challenge you will: Distinguish […]
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A business can sell a lot and still lose money. Start with the four numbers every simple model needs.
Knowing how costs behave helps a founder understand what happens when sales rise or fall.
Break-even is the point where total revenue covers total costs. It is a useful planning tool, not a guarantee of demand.
Use a simple table or spreadsheet with one scenario. Label every estimate clearly and calculate break-even units.
Build three scenarios — cautious, expected and optimistic — with different sales or cost assumptions. Compare profit/loss and explain which assumption matters most.
The cheapest price is not automatically best for the customer or the business.
Your final piece should make the assumptions visible so somebody else can challenge them.
Show price, costs, break-even, one scenario and biggest uncertainty.
Explain the model, break-even, sensitivity test and financial risk.
Present the key numbers visually and explain what founders should watch.
The final challenge asks you to pitch the business. A credible pitch uses numbers as evidence, not decoration.
Which number changed your view of the idea most?
Where could simple scenario modelling help you make a real spending or project decision?
How could AI assist with financial modelling while still requiring humans to check assumptions and calculations?
Your Step 5 output is the main evidence. Keep to the stated size or time limit.
Choose Your Tools
Use the tools available to you. Strong thinking matters more than a particular app.
Use a spreadsheet or calculator to model price, unit cost, fixed cost, revenue and break-even. Keep assumptions visible.
Use realistic public prices or supplier estimates where appropriate, but label estimates clearly.
Use a one-page numbers sheet, spreadsheet dashboard, slides or a short finance briefing.
Your Step 5 output is the main evidence. Keep to the stated size or time limit.
Choose Your Tools
Use the tools available to you. Strong thinking matters more than a particular app.
Use a spreadsheet or calculator to model price, unit cost, fixed cost, revenue and break-even. Keep assumptions visible.
Use realistic public prices or supplier estimates where appropriate, but label estimates clearly.
Use a one-page numbers sheet, spreadsheet dashboard, slides or a short finance briefing.
Choose Your Tools
Use the tools available to you. Strong thinking matters more than a particular app.
Use a spreadsheet or calculator to model price, unit cost, fixed cost, revenue and break-even. Keep assumptions visible.
Use realistic public prices or supplier estimates where appropriate, but label estimates clearly.
Use a one-page numbers sheet, spreadsheet dashboard, slides or a short finance briefing.